Entries for May 2009
Thu May 21, 2009 15:20 BST |
During Brazilian President Lula’s recent visit to China, the leaders of the two countries have been discussing, among other things, the prospects of abandoning the US dollar in bilateral trade operations. This would mean that Chinese importers would purchase Brazilian goods in Chinese yuan, and vice versa. Personally, I couldn’t agree more with former Brazilian… [Read more]
Tags: bilateral trade, Brazilian real, China, convertibility, Lula, reserve currency, yuan
Posted in: Asia, China, Currencies, General, Geopolitics, Latin America, US
Wed May 20, 2009 14:51 BST |
The departure of the speaker of the UK’s House of Commons over his handling of the MPs’ expenses scandal is now yesterday’s news (but can still be seen here). His resignation speech may only have lasted 33 seconds, but the ramifications will be much more significant. The key point to note is that Speaker Michael… [Read more]
Tags: George Young, House of Commons, John Bercow, Michael Martin, MP expenses scandal, Speaker, successor, UK
Posted in: General, Political Risk, UK
Tue May 19, 2009 16:41 BST |
Markus Schneider and Lisa Lewin from BMI’s Africa desk introduce next month’s theme of Business Monitor’s ‘Roundtable Discussion’. With the global recession in full swing, why will Sub-Saharan Africa outperform most EM regions?

African Decoupling [13:28m]:
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Tags: decoupling, IMF Loans, recession, recovery, Sub-Saharan Africa
Posted in: Africa, China, Commodities, General, Podcast
Mon May 18, 2009 17:08 BST |
It is tempting to dismiss the annual Eurovision Song Contest (broadcast on Saturday evening) as meaningless nonsense, and an exercise in which country can embarrass itself the most. However, I think this is far too hasty a judgement. Having watched it on and off for several years, I’d say it is still possible to make… [Read more]
Tags: block voting, Eurovision song contest, Geopolitics, Politics
Posted in: Emerging Europe, Eurozone, General, Geopolitics
Fri May 15, 2009 17:24 BST |
Among other things, I’m just wrapping up a three-day working trip to Istanbul, where I participated in an investor’s conference focusing on the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region as well as met BMI clients to discuss views from the ground level. I figured I would take the opportunity while I’m waiting for my flight… [Read more]
Tags: banking sector, Consumers, Economic Outlook, investment, Istanbul, recession, Turkey
Posted in: Emerging Europe, Financials, General, Middle East
Fri May 15, 2009 14:59 BST |
When a friend of mine asked me what was happening with the opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ)’s leadership race on Saturday May 16, I replied ‘the frontrunner is a 40-something Afro-Japanese woman, daughter of a US marine, who is a self-made nanotechnology business guru’. That was a joke, obviously, but it does underscore the… [Read more]
Tags: deadlock, DPJ, election, Japan, opposition, party leader, reform
Posted in: Asia, General, Political Risk
Thu May 14, 2009 15:56 BST |
Is there any country in the world that is going to do better in 2009 than in 2008, as measured by real GDP growth? I think so. In fact, I think there’s a country that could have its strongest growth number in a decade, despite the global economic crisis. It’s called Zimbabwe. Granted, the bar… [Read more]
Tags: Africa, Green Shoots, hyperinflation, IMF, inflation, Mugabe, south africa, Zimbabwe
Posted in: Africa, Currencies, General, Inflation/Deflation, Political Risk