Entries for the ‘Asia’ Category

The External Rebalancing Continues

China’s exports came in at US$94.5bn in February, up 45.6% y-o-y and higher than consensus estimates. The data shows a continued outperformance of exports to emerging markets relative to developed markets, with exports to emerging markets such as India (up 54%), and Brazil (up 92%) showing the most impressive gains.

On the imports side of the [Read more...]

Indian FY2010/11 Budget: A Missed Opportunity?

By now, regular readers should know that while I generally like India’s long-term macro story, New Delhi’s public finances leave a lot to be desired. After years of budgetary mismanagement, the country is a notable EM outlier in its fiscal/public debt dynamics, and for this reason, the FY2010/11 (April-March) budget, presented last Friday, was so [Read more...]

2010 IPO Outlook: Boom Or Bust?

In 2009, companies around the world raised US$892bn in initial public offerings (IPOs), which was 41% higher than in 2008.

Of that amount, a sizeable US$314bn was raised in Q4 2009, creating the impression that the year-end momentum would likely spill over into the new year. Indeed, a variety of banks and analysts produced bullish [Read more...]

US-China Relations: Is Taiwan ‘Worth It’?

Few people would dispute that the relationship between the US and China is the most important in the world, so much so that the term ‘Chimerica’ is used often nowadays to refer to the two countries as a single economy. Both sides generally benefit, if you overlook the huge US trade deficit with China, and [Read more...]

JAL Demise Reinforces Bearish Japan Debt Outlook

Having rung up over US$25bn in debts, and four state bailouts in the past decade, Japan Airlines – Asia’s largest airline – has finally filed for bankruptcy protection. The beleaguered company made the filing yesterday, and although the government has pledged to keep the carrier in the air, almost 16,000 jobs will be slashed in [Read more...]

BRIC Outbound Investment: The Outlook For 2010

Most people are well aware that the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries are big recipients of foreign direct investment (FDI). But they are also big sources of FDI.

In 2009, for the first time, emerging market outbound mergers and acquisitions (M&A) flows outpaced inbound M&A flows, reaching US$131.8bn, according to Dealogic. Most of these [Read more...]

Exit The Dragon: PBoC Begins To Tighten

This week the People’s Bank of China tried to send a clear signal that it is starting to tighten monetary conditions as the economic recovery takes hold. Stuart Allsopp, BMI China analyst, explains the significance of the bank’s  move to raise its 3-month bill financing rate and reserve requirement ratios for the monetary policy outlook [Read more...]

 
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