Although a deal on private sector writedowns of Greek debt has yet to be reached, the risk rally that began in October 2011 remains in place. Measures taken by the European Central Bank, such as cutting interest rates and providing unlimited banking sector liquidity, have certainly helped stabilise financial markets in the eurozone and beyond… [Read more]
As many readers will have observed over the past few weeks, Hungary has become the focus of attention in Central & Eastern Europe (CEE), and for all the wrong reasons. The country finds itself caught in a financial storm equivalent in magnitude to that witnessed in late 2008, with the forint trading close to its… [Read more]
Riskwatchdog is becoming increasingly wary about the outlook for Brazilian credit, and now sees potential for a more rapid unwind of lending operations than I had initially anticipated. Total available credit expanded by a strong 18.2% y-o-y in November, according to recent data published by the central bank, but a deterioration in external conditions in… [Read more]
Towards the end of 2010 our global team identified nine key global themes for 2011, ranging from an intensification of the eurozone debt crisis to ‘all eyes on China’. With 2011 now coming to a close, Mark Schaltuper, BMI’s Head of Europe Country Risk is joined by Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper to see how… [Read more]
European policymakers have reached a breakthrough in negotiations over how to stop the eurozone sovereign debt crisis from escalating further, significantly reducing the risk of a ‘disorderly’ default by Greece any time soon. Moreover, announcements of a bigger role for the IMF and ECB in dealing with the crisis, as well as plans to increase… [Read more]
What is the impact of global events on the region’s growth prospects and what are the implications for individual countries? If you need critical insights and market views to help you identify key opportunities and avoid market risks, Business Monitor International’s (BMI’s) expert analysts can provide the answers. Sign up for a free trial In… [Read more]
Despite the lack of an agreed plan of action out of the weekend meetings of the IMF and G20 Finance Ministers, there are encouraging indications that a more encompassing policy response to the eurozone debt crisis is currently under formulation. Reports suggest that leaders are tending towards a plan consisting of a haircut on Greek… [Read more]
