Entries for the ‘Political Risk’ Category
Tue Mar 9, 2010 17:33 UTC |
Anyone following the US ‘War on Terror’ will probably be aware that America is increasingly using drones – unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) – to carry out airstrikes. They may also be aware that remote-controlled robots are being used for the purposes of bomb disposal in places such as Iraq. The growing use of unmanned platforms [Read more...]
Tags: bomb disposal, implications, Karel Capek, P.W.Singer, rebellion, rise of the machines, robots, UAVs, UCAVs, unmanned aerial vehicles, Wired For War
Posted in: Book Review, General, Geopolitics, Political Risk, US
Tue Feb 23, 2010 16:51 UTC |
Regular readers of this blog will know that my colleagues and I have recently been discussing the growing possibility of Israeli military action against Iran’s nuclear programme (I highly recommend listening to Business Monitor’s Podcast on this subject). However, let us now do a little thought experiment: flash forward five years, and imagine that Iran [Read more...]
Tags: existential threat, Iran, israel, military strike, nuclear weapons
Posted in: General, Geopolitics, Middle East, Political Risk
Fri Feb 19, 2010 17:11 UTC |
The fixed income investment community has been shaken up by growing concerns over Greece’s creditworthiness, which appear to be spreading like a bush fire across eurozone peripheral states. While concerns over significant sovereign credit risk are currently limited to the euro area and Dubai, my colleagues at BMI believe that Latin American government credit, too, [Read more...]
Tags: Argentina, CDS, Creditworthiness, Current Account, Default, Government Debt, Greece, IMF, Jamaica, Nicaragua, sovereign debt, sovereign risk ratings, Venezuela
Posted in: Eurozone, General, Latin America, Political Risk
Thu Feb 18, 2010 16:22 UTC |
On this week’s Business Monitor Podcast, BMI’s Head of Middle East Analysis Elizabeth Martins and Middle East Analyst Andrew Fargus discuss rising political risks in Iran concerning the nuclear situation. With diplomatic tensions escalating, Fargus assesses the implications of a potential Israeli strike on Iran, and discusses the latter’s retaliatory options. At home, the Iranian [Read more...]

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Tags: Air Strike, Hamas, Hizbullah, IAEA, Iran, israel, Lebanon, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Non-Proliferation Treaty, nuclear programme, Strait of Hormuz, Syria, Tehran
Posted in: General, Geopolitics, Middle East, Podcast, Political Risk
Fri Feb 12, 2010 16:19 UTC |
With the announcement on February 11 by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that Iran has produced its first batch of uranium enriched to 20%, the Islamic Republic has moved a step closer to being able to produce a nuclear weapon. Tehran insists that its nuclear programme has no military applications, and that the 20% enriched uranium will [Read more...]
Tags: enriched uranium, Hizbullah, IAEA, Iran, Natanz, nuclear weapons, retaliation scenarios
Posted in: General, Geopolitics, Middle East, Political Risk
Tue Feb 9, 2010 18:31 UTC |
When global stock markets were rising in 2009, and government co-operation was thought to have saved the world from economic catastrophe, the continued deterioration of trade ties between the US and China went largely unnoticed. However, rising protectionism is now here, and I think this issue will rise in significance over the coming months.
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Tags: China, Great Depression, protectionism, Smoot-Hawley, Trade, US
Posted in: China, General, Geopolitics, Political Risk, US
Mon Feb 8, 2010 15:36 UTC |
Russia is currently in the midst of a political transition that has already seen or will soon see several veteran regional leaders retire. Until 2004, Russia’s regions had direct elections for presidents and governors, as is the case in the US. However, after the Beslan school siege in the Republic of North Ossetia-Alania, [Read more...]
Tags: Bashkortostan, Dagestan, Mintimer Shaimiyev, Mukhu Aliyev, Murtaza Rakhimov, power struggle, regional leaders, Russia, Rustam Minnikhanov, Tatarstan
Posted in: Emerging Europe, General, Political Risk