On February 22, sugar prices were trading around the USc25.00/lb area, and I targeted a sharp correction to the USc18-20/lb area on Business Monitor’s online service. ( I decided to share this with Risk Watchdog readers on two days later). This view has played out magnificently, although a little faster than I had anticipated, with… [Read more]
Last week on Business Monitor Online I suggested that commodities looked poised for further gains as the US dollar weakened slightly and equity markets pushed higher. Two charts in particular point to additional upside for commodities. The first is the Baltic Dry Index, which has pushed above resistance in recent trading. Indeed, the Index seems… [Read more]
With Halloween around the corner, we ask BMI’s Global Economic Strategist, Tim Cooper, if the latest Q3 GDP reading in the US is a ‘Trick’ or a ‘Treat’. For now, markets appear to be thinking the latter.
‘What happened to the ‘sell in May’ brigade?’ is the question on Risk Watchdog’s lips today. They certainly haven’t shown up across the Emerging Markets (EM) equity spectrum, going by the massive gains enjoyed across the board of late. Take the BRICs, for example, where year-to-date performances have been nothing short of spectacular… Heading the… [Read more]
The rally in Latin stocks since the lows of October 2008 has been nothing short of incredible. Some of the markets have risen by over 100%, and viewing the moves in dollar terms, the gains have been even more impressive/absurd. With such huge gains, it begs the question to Risk Watchdog of whether this is… [Read more]
Some investors have been astonished by the run–up in raw material prices so far this year – after all, chocolate was not supposed to be high on the shopping list in a global recession! Well, the resurgence of commodities should not come as a surprise to Risk Watchdog’s faithful readership. My colleagues at BMI have… [Read more]
Risk Watchdog is proud to introduce Business Monitor International’s first Podcast. Terry Alexander and Tim Cooper discuss BMI’s outlook on global financial markets.
