Risk lovers may be starting to get cold feet if recent price action in Emerging Market (EM) equities and commodities is anything to go by. Indeed, I have started to see quite a few compelling short-term sell signals in global markets, and not just confined to the frontier plays, but the major EM risk bellwethers… [Read more]
With the economy taking a knock from global headwinds – and President Lula set to leave office in 2010 – can Brazil retain its place amongst the EM elite? Mark Schaltuper, Latin America country risk analyst at Business Monitor International, explains why he is still excited about the Brazilian growth story, and which are the… [Read more]
‘What happened to the ‘sell in May’ brigade?’ is the question on Risk Watchdog’s lips today. They certainly haven’t shown up across the Emerging Markets (EM) equity spectrum, going by the massive gains enjoyed across the board of late. Take the BRICs, for example, where year-to-date performances have been nothing short of spectacular… Heading the… [Read more]
The rally in Latin stocks since the lows of October 2008 has been nothing short of incredible. Some of the markets have risen by over 100%, and viewing the moves in dollar terms, the gains have been even more impressive/absurd. With such huge gains, it begs the question to Risk Watchdog of whether this is… [Read more]
Looking at EM equities these days, one can easily overlook the woods for all the trees. Aside from short-term bounces here and there, the overall direction of stocks continues to point downwards. However, I have started to frequently come across comments such as ‘stocks are oversold’, and ‘valuations are highly attractive’. Well, that may be… [Read more]
