Posts Tagged ‘Bubble’

Brazil: Consumer Credit Bubble?

Brazil’s economy benefits from an almost perfect commodity mix, a rapidly rising consumer base and a government committed to improving the country’s investment climate, suggesting that it will continue to grow at a robust pace over the coming years. However, a reluctance by monetary policymakers to tighten credit conditions, for fear of hurting growth and… [Read more]

 
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Dubai: Observations On A Recent Visit

Regular readers of this blog will know that I have been to Dubai a couple of times over the past few years, most recently in March 2010 (see Dubai: Notes From A City At The Cross Roads) and have commented several times on the emirate’s financial crisis. Well, now I have come back from another… [Read more]

China: A Sustainable Boom Or Bubble About To Burst?

There is no question that China’s economy is booming, with growth spiking to 11.9% in the first quarter. The world’s largest country (by population) appears to have swept off the global recession with aplomb and many an analyst are counting on Chinese demand to drive a new global growth cycle. But is this growth sustainable… [Read more]

 
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Chinese Property Market A House Of Cards

New property market cooling measures announced by China’s State Council on April 15 seek to curb speculative demand for real estate by raising down payment requirements and mortgage rates, while giving local government officials the responsibility for failing to stabilise property prices. If the measures work, which I think they might, then property prices in… [Read more]

Exit The Dragon: PBoC Begins To Tighten

This week the People’s Bank of China tried to send a clear signal that it is starting to tighten monetary conditions as the economic recovery takes hold. Stuart Allsopp, BMI China analyst, explains the significance of the bank’s  move to raise its 3-month bill financing rate and reserve requirement ratios for the monetary policy outlook… [Read more]

 
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Australia: Another Rate Hike, But Are The Reasons Sound?

While I had not been pencilling in another interest rate hike this year, the Reserve Bank Of Australia (RBA)’s decision to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) for a third consecutive month to 3.75% on Tuesday was not wholly unexpected. Indeed, Business Monitor Online stated on November 30 that the risks were… [Read more]

Global Market Update – The Outlook For Q4 & A Look at Gold

As we enter the fourth quarter, Terry Alexander returns with an outlook on near-term market dynamics, and why we are not yet ready to change our long-held bullish view. Stuart Allsopp joins this podcast to give a little more fundamental insight into what is driving the rally in Gold.

 
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