Despite America’s woes, including Monday’s S&P outlook revision and the ongoing stalemate in Afghanistan, I believe that Barack Obama will win re-election in 2012. There are two main reasons: Firstly, one-term presidents are increasingly an aberration. The last two single-term presidents, George H.W. Bush, and Jimmy Carter, presided over recessions. By 2012, the US economy… [Read more]
One of the big questions of British politics in recent years (aside from who will win the 2010 general election, of course) is quite what former Prime Minister Tony Blair will do next. Still just 56, Blair has so far filled his time with a number of high-profile appointments and lucrative business deals. In the… [Read more]
Barack Obama’s resounding victory over John McCain begs the question, what next for the US Republican party? Can they rebuild themselves in time to recapture the White House in 2012 (or Congress in the 2010 mid-term elections)? What will they have to do? Who will spearhead them next time round? A key problem for the… [Read more]