In this week’s podcast Mark Schaltuper (Head of Latin America Analysis) and Terry Alexander (Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets) discuss the return of risk appetite to global markets. Assessing recent moves and a stronger-than-expected bounce in developed markets’ equities, we explore potential opportunities and the implications for emerging markets.

 

 Standard Podcast [12:46m]
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Last week my colleagues at Business Monitor and I took off our bullish key market view of the Brazilian Bovespa index, following gains of around 13.8%. The monthly chart, which was run in the Latin America section of Business Monitor Online, highlights the strong potential of a major reversal. The accompanying chart below is the [Read more...]

As we enter the fourth quarter, Terry Alexander returns with an outlook on near-term market dynamics, and why we are not yet ready to change our long-held bullish view. Stuart Allsopp joins this podcast to give a little more fundamental insight into what is driving the rally in Gold.

 

 Standard Podcast [10:48m]
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Terry Alexander is back on the Business Monitor Podcast this week to speak about the recent performance in global equities. Since our very first podcast he has reiterated his bullish stance on stocks, a view which, almost five months later, still remains unshaken. Both the technical and fundamental picture remains conducive of further gains for [Read more...]

 

 Standard Podcast [11:43m]
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A year ago today, US investment bank giant Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, sending shock waves reverberating through global financial markets. Whether the US Treasury was right to let this happen still remains open to much debate. Either way, at the time, the news, despite being highly depressing, played up the key view of my [Read more...]

Despite a volatile week for equities, I’d like to take this opportunity to reiterate that the overall medium-term uptrend remains in play for now.

September could prove rough, though: bond yields look like they could come lower, the Dow could be headed to support at around 8,800, and meanwhile, volatility is beginning to pick up again, [Read more...]

Risk Watchdog has always had a keen interest in relative value plays. One such view has been the multi-year compression in the Dow-Gold ratio (that is the Dow Jones divided by the price of spot Gold). Back in April 2006, I thought that gold would continue outperforming the Dow Jones, a trend that had started [Read more...]