Having just returned from my latest business trip to Dubai, I have to report that confidence in general remains very subdued. For sheer tragic parade-raining, bubble-bursting symbolism, you can’t beat the Burj Khalifa tower (renamed at the last minute to appease the neighbours and then closed soon after opening for ‘technical reasons’ – for three [Read more...]

There are growing indications that the Iranian banking system is in crisis, weighed down by a proliferation of non-performing loans. Although there is no timely financial reporting to speak of in Iran, a number of recent news stories suggest to me that the country’s banks are in a great deal of trouble.

Central Bank of [Read more...]

The Republic of Congo’s unrated US$ 2029 sovereign bond is now trading at an all-time high, reflecting the strength of global risk sentiment in general, and the appetite for African fixed income instruments in particular. While I don’t see any fundamental reason for the instrument to continue rising, I do think its recovery bodes well [Read more...]

Having returned from a week-long trip to Cambodia (and several other Southeast Asian countries) during Christmas, I was pleased to find that the two cities that I visited there – Phnom Penh (the capital) and Siem Reap – appear to be relatively prosperous. I acknowledge that my perceptions of Cambodia are probably skewed given that [Read more...]

Cautious appears to be the best way to describe sentiment among Mexico City’s executives and bureaucrats at present, or at least that was the feeling Risk Watchdog came away with after spending a week on the ground there. This is not surprising, given the severity of the blow to Mexico’s economy from the recent downturn. [Read more...]

US President Barack Obama, en route to ‘Asia’ (I use the speech marks, because Asia is so diverse and it is inaccurate to consider it a single entity), has no shortage of issues to deal with when he gets there. There seems to be a general feeling that US influence in Asia is on the [Read more...]

On Tuesday Risk Watchdog attended Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa’s exposition of the ‘The international economy, and the process of the citizen’s revolution in Ecuador’ at the London School of Economics. Or at least that was the title of his talk. Disappointingly there was very little description of how the citizen’s revolution is progressing in present [Read more...]