In an era where a global financial crisis has been caused not by developments in Russia, South-East Asia or Argentina, but by banking insolvency in the United States and sovereign default risks in a eurozone member state, namely Greece, our panel of senior commentators discusses what it means to be an ‘emerging market’. Justin Patrie, [Read more...]

 

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On this week’s podcast, Business Monitor Chief Economist Tim Cooper, Head of Europe Analysis Justin Patrie and Senior Europe Analyst Bruce Jeffery discuss European investment strategy on the back of the Greek fiscal crisis and news of an EU support package for Athens. In addition to providing analysis on the most recent market developments in [Read more...]

 

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We have previously highlighted on Risk Watchdog how the aftermath of the global financial crisis has exposed the structural imbalances in many developed economies, while also singling out those emerging markets which are in a fundamentally sound position to exploit the global economic recovery. Poland and Greece are certainly two prime examples at opposite ends [Read more...]

Sovereign risk roared back on to the agenda this week after Fitch Ratings agency downgraded Greece’s sovereign issuer default rating to ‘BBB+’ on December 9. We discuss the tactical market implications for the eurozone and the strategic risks posed by further downgrades in the region going forward.

 

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BMI’s Justin Patrie cautions against premature excitement following the release of Q2 GDP data for several CEE and eurozone economies. Nevertheless, differentiation will remain key and the usual suspects (i.e. Turkey and Poland) continue to stand out as the ideal relative value play.

 

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‘A tale of two Europes’ seems to be the best way to describe the slew of Q2 GDP releases that came out in the second week of August. On the upside, Germany and France, the two largest eurozone economies, surprised most analysts by surging out of recession and posting 0.3% q-o-q growth. This helped to [Read more...]

After Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) announcement that they were cutting rates by 25 basis points to 1.00% and pumping ever more money into the markets, Business Monitor International’s Global Economic Strategist, David Snowdon, appeared on CNBC to talk about the move.

At the core of the ECB’s decision was the realisation of quite how terrible [Read more...]