On this week’s Business Monitor Podcast, Head of Country Risk & Financial Markets Justin Patrie discusses the 2011 macro-market outlook with Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper. Key issues explored include global equity and FX strategy, developed vs. emerging market performance, the inflation and interest rate outlook and key risks to the ongoing macroeconomic recovery.
Recent developments in global markets have largely reaffirmed BMI’s pre-existing key views on the eurozone (it looks bad), deflation and inflation (it’s deflation), and the outlook for growth in the second half of 2010 (our expectation for a slowdown is looking better and better). Mark Schaltuper is joined by Tim Cooper, BMI’s Chief Economist, to… [Read more]
The end of month closes across asset classes could be the most important since March 2009, when a clear reversal pattern prompted us to turn bullish towards equities. This time, a weak close would suggest an end to the rally of the past 10 months, with the potential for some significant medium-term downside for equities… [Read more]
One stock market that has really underperformed global equity markets in recent months is Japan’s Nikkei index. While other developed markets have rallied by over 50.0% since the March lows, and some EMs by around 200%, the Nikkei has only recovered by around 35.0%. The price action has turned lower and is starting to form… [Read more]
Several months into the rally, how much more room is there for global markets to climb? Terry Alexander, head of Country Risk at Business Monitor International, makes the case for a sustained rally given the technical picture. Careful about the fundamentals, though! Appendix 1 Appendix 2
Risk Watchdog is proud to introduce Business Monitor International’s first Podcast. Terry Alexander and Tim Cooper discuss BMI’s outlook on global financial markets.
