Despite the lack of an agreed plan of action out of the weekend meetings of the IMF and G20 Finance Ministers, there are encouraging indications that a more encompassing policy response to the eurozone debt crisis is currently under formulation. Reports suggest that leaders are tending towards a plan consisting of a haircut on Greek… [Read more]
The ‘epic crisis’ scenario which we outlined in a recent podcast appears to be in full swing. With much riding on the decisions policymakers make in the very near term, Business Monitor’s Chief Economic Strategist Tim Cooper and Head of Europe Country Risk & Financial Markets Mark Schaltuper believe that the probability of a Greek… [Read more]
Global markets are once again under pressure as eurozone policymakers continue to duck launching a sufficient policy response to the region’s debt crisis, despite encouragement to do so from US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner. Another game of chicken between the Greek government and eurozone leaders is currently underway, with a decision over whether to disperse… [Read more]
The title of a recent Business Monitor International report highlights the view that the eurozone is expected to muddle through. However, as Bruce Jeffery, Global Markets Strategist at Business Monitor, explains, a resolution to the ongoing sovereign debt debacle will require a crisis of epic proportions. While implausible at this juncture, alternative scenarios cannot be… [Read more]
Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk and Financial Markets, and Tim Cooper, Chief Economic Strategist, come together to discuss Business Monitor’s latest Special Report titled “Market Meltdown: Global Economy On The Edge”. With the US reeling from debt concerns after losing its AAA credit rating, the eurozone dogged by the ongoing sovereign debt crises,… [Read more]
The ongoing sovereign debt crises in the eurozone will have several important political and geopolitical consequences, as I explain in a feature in Business Monitor Online this week. Europe faces its biggest crisis since Yugoslavia’s collapse. Europe seldom has the unity and purpose to tackle major crises. The eurozone was probably too big to begin… [Read more]
The EU-wide bank stress test results released on July 15 offered little reprieve for financial markets as concerns over the eurozone sovereign debt crisis continue to dominate. At the heart of the stress test scenario is the ‘adverse scenario’, in which the euro-area economy contracts 0.5% in 2011 and equity markets fall 15%, while banks… [Read more]
