BMI’s newest core view is that private healthcare spending as a percentage of total healthcare expenditure in emerging markets will decrease over the medium term. Governments in these countries increasingly appreciate the value of a healthy population and are boosting investment in medical services, such as pharmaceuticals, diagnostics, doctors, nurses, clinics and hospitals.

Notable public sector [Read more...]

I visited Mumbai in April and thought that I’d share some observations with you. On my first morning, it was 35 degrees centigrade, and with the rainy season approaching, the air was thick and felt ready to burst. A smoggy haze hung over the city, suffocating me as I sat in endless traffic jams or [Read more...]

Brazil has just hosted the second annual BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) summit on April 15-16, but I think there are good reasons to doubt how much strength this grouping actually has in terms of changing the world – at least in a collective fashion. Below, I list some thoughts about BRICs as a concept:
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The shift in economic power from west to east and from north to south is ongoing. The importance that Africa will play in this given its natural endowments and growing domestic consumer markets means that the need for a regional financial and services centre has arisen. Risk Watchdog attended a conference in March, where among [Read more...]

At the height of the crisis, BMI suggested that a story of ‘Three Asias’ – that of China and India, the domestic demand-driven economies and the trade-dependent states – would dictate the pace and virility with which the region would recover from the global downturn. A year on, Justin Patrie asks Rahul Ghosh, Head of [Read more...]

 

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By now, regular readers should know that while I generally like India’s long-term macro story, New Delhi’s public finances leave a lot to be desired. After years of budgetary mismanagement, the country is a notable EM outlier in its fiscal/public debt dynamics, and for this reason, the FY2010/11 (April-March) budget, presented last Friday, was so [Read more...]

Most people are well aware that the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries are big recipients of foreign direct investment (FDI). But they are also big sources of FDI.

In 2009, for the first time, emerging market outbound mergers and acquisitions (M&A) flows outpaced inbound M&A flows, reaching US$131.8bn, according to Dealogic. Most of these [Read more...]