In Business Monitor Online today, we outline key risks in two economies. In the case of Croatia, we retain our view that the government will seek IMF backing of some sort this year, which will help avert a full-blown crisis in the economy. This is predicated on the increasingly difficult conditions for Croatian financial markets… [Read more]
After a volatile year and a seemingly robust start to 2012, Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk & Financial Markets, asked Business Monitor’s Commodities team what the outlook for commodities is for the remainder of the year. John Davies, Ed Coughlan and Ophelie Buchet share their views on the upside potential for the commodity… [Read more]
Emerging Market (EM) equities are looking good at the moment, there is no doubt about it, and as regular readers of Riskwatchdog will already know, I am particularly bullish towards Polish, Turkish and Abu Dhabi stocks. But now looking elsewhere for the next big thing, I turn my attention to Latin America, identifying Peru as… [Read more]
On this week’s businesss monitor podcast, we assess the state of the European banking sector on the back of the EU-wide stress test results released on July 23. BMI’s Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie, along with Head of Europe Analysis Mark Schaltuper and Europe Analyst Chris Graham, dissect the methodology of… [Read more]
Let’s rewind two years, to a time before ‘credit crunch’, ‘quantitative easing’, ‘TARP’ or ‘staycation’ had entered the popular vocabulary. I’m talking about a time in which the term ‘currency manipulator’ was part of the zeitgeist of US-China economic relations. Today, G20 summits come and go without this phrase, which once seemed almost ubiquitous, being… [Read more]
The Brazilian government and the Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) have presented a comprehensive list of measures to tackle the effects of the credit crunch and clogged up money markets. The extent and size of these measures suggest that policymakers in Brazil have recognised the severity of the crisis and are determined to address these… [Read more]
