My colleagues and I continue to see further medium-term weakness for the US dollar and, in this respect, favour emerging market (EM) currencies. Our top picks in our key market views are the Chilean peso (CLP) and the Singapore dollar (SGD). Our other EM favourites include the Mexican peso (MXN), Brazilian real (BRL) and South… [Read more]
In this week’s podcast Mark Schaltuper (Head of Latin America Analysis) and Terry Alexander (Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets) discuss the return of risk appetite to global markets. Assessing recent moves and a stronger-than-expected bounce in developed markets’ equities, we explore potential opportunities and the implications for emerging markets.
Risk watchdog’s call of a 25bps hike in Mexico’s benchmark interest rate to 8.00% on July 18, based on poor inflation data and rising price expectations, proved correct, and supports the long-held bullish stance towards the Mexican peso. The hawkish decision by Banxico helped the peso break five-year highs of MXN10.22/US$, pushing on towards my… [Read more]
