On this week’s Business Monitor Podcast, we continue our theme of ‘top emerging market picks’ with a focus on Latin America. BMI’s Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie discusses the region with Head of Latin America Analysis Richard Hamilton and Latin America Analyst Martha Stickings. Specific countries discussed include Colombia, Brazil, Panama… [Read more]
Against an increasingly challenging global economic backdrop, Richard Hamilton, Head of Latin America analysis at Business Monitor International, outlines three core themes for the region. Having been among the first regions to emerge from the global economic downturn in 2009, we take a look at the likely impact of a double-dip in China and an… [Read more]
Over the past several weeks we have heard about the gloomy outlook for consumer demand in developed markets. Household deleveraging in the US and the growing debt crisis in peripheral eurozone states suggest that a return to robust demand levels will be hard to come by. In this context, we examine the outlook for the… [Read more]
It is too early to call the peak in Latin American equities, especially when there is so much liquidity floating around. However, recent price action combined with macro concerns imply that another significant downleg may not be far off. Since the start of the year LatAm stocks have been the EM outperformers, but while Risk… [Read more]
Further to my musings on whether ‘decoupling’ is fact or fiction, I’d like to briefly point out two of the curiosities of the current global equity rally. The first curiosity is how out of touch the rally seems to be with the fundamentals. My overall view is that this rally is simply a correction in… [Read more]
The rally in Latin stocks since the lows of October 2008 has been nothing short of incredible. Some of the markets have risen by over 100%, and viewing the moves in dollar terms, the gains have been even more impressive/absurd. With such huge gains, it begs the question to Risk Watchdog of whether this is… [Read more]
Peru’s IGRA equity index is showing a great deal of respect for the 18-month trendline resistance, as global markets take a breather. The daily relative strength index (RSI) for the bourse is implying that Peruvian stocks are looking overcooked, potentially acting as a sell signal for investors. I don’t rule out the possibility that a… [Read more]
