Towards the end of 2010 our global team identified nine key global themes for 2011, ranging from an intensification of the eurozone debt crisis to ‘all eyes on China’. With 2011 now coming to a close, Mark Schaltuper, BMI’s Head of Europe Country Risk is joined by Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper to see how… [Read more]
A recent trip to Cairo has confirmed many of Business Monitor’s core views on the short and long-term outlook for the Egyptian economy. Key concerns for many investors include the upcoming parliamentary elections, recurring strike activity, in addition to the security situation throughout the country. This week Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk &… [Read more]
It has been six months since popular uprisings toppled the presidents of Tunisia and Egypt, and set off a chain of events that brought civil war to Libya, and Syria and Yemen to the brink of collapse. In today’s podcast, Jean-Paul Pigat, Head of Middle East and North Africa Analysis, discusses where the region stands,… [Read more]
Political risk has ceased to be a dominant theme in Latin America over the past couple of years, allowing the region to emerge ever more prominently on global investors’ radar screens since the global financial crisis. The focus, instead, shifted towards the region’s resource wealth, the vast capital investment growth potential and the growing consumer… [Read more]
Political risk in Latin America has not been on most investors’ radar screens since the global financial crisis. Sure, you’ve had the headline grabbing stories about Mexico’s drug cartels, and Venezuelan leader Hugo Chávez’s colourful rhetoric still gets a fair bit of exposure outside the region. There’s also been a military coup in Honduras, and… [Read more]
On this week’s podcast, BMI’s Head of Country Risk & Financial Markets Justin Patrie talks to Jean-Paul Pigat about the ongoing political crisis in the Middle East. The discussion centres on the tactical and strategic implications for regional/global markets and macro. Justin and Jean-Paul also discuss potential political scenarios in Saudi Arabia and Iran as… [Read more]
In light of current unrest in Egypt, we turn our attention southwards to Sub-Saharan Africa, where political risk is rising in Cote d’Ivoire following last year’s disputed election, and in Uganda and Nigeria ahead of elections in February and April, respectively. Meanwhile, higher inflation threatens to bring instability to other countries in the region. BMI’s… [Read more]
