On this week’s businesss monitor podcast, we assess the state of the European banking sector on the back of the EU-wide stress test results released on July 23. BMI’s Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie, along with Head of Europe Analysis Mark Schaltuper and Europe Analyst Chris Graham, dissect the methodology of [Read more...]

 

 Standard Podcast [20:37m]
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It is now over 9 months since Greece’s sovereign debt crisis brought the Eurozone’s stability to the forefront of investor concerns. With a trillion dollar bailout fund in place, and the recent bounce in the euro (some 5% against the US dollar), can we assume that the worst is now behind us. Justin Patrie, Head [Read more...]

 

 Standard Podcast [15:20m]
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The euro continued to rally in today’s trading and is beginning to approach key technical resistance around the US$1.2750/EUR area. Though on the daily chart the unit is beginning to look increasingly overbought, the technical pattern points towards further upside for the euro, and I would not rule out a push to US$1.30/EUR.

The fixed income investment community has been shaken up by growing concerns over Greece’s creditworthiness, which appear to be spreading like a bush fire across eurozone peripheral states. While concerns over significant sovereign credit risk are currently limited to the euro area and Dubai, my colleagues at BMI believe that Latin American government credit, too, [Read more...]

We have previously highlighted on Risk Watchdog how the aftermath of the global financial crisis has exposed the structural imbalances in many developed economies, while also singling out those emerging markets which are in a fundamentally sound position to exploit the global economic recovery. Poland and Greece are certainly two prime examples at opposite ends [Read more...]

The end of month closes across asset classes could be the most important since March 2009, when a clear reversal pattern prompted us to turn bullish towards equities. This time, a weak close would suggest an end to the rally of the past 10 months, with the potential for some significant medium-term downside for equities [Read more...]

 

 Standard Podcast [11:45m]
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