The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) two-day meeting over September 20-21 concluded with the FOMC’s decision to engage in a ‘twist’ operation and re-invest maturing agency debt. However, the decision fell well short of QE3 or other unconventional operations. In a special feature in Business Monitor Online today, we analyse the FOMC statement… [Read more]
Sharp exchange rate depreciation and rising inflationary pressures have been exacerbated by an unpredictable and often contradictory monetary policy by the Central Bank of Kenya. Can recent – admittedly half-hearted – measures to tighten policy prevent further shilling depreciation and reverse the inflationary trend? This week Mark Schaltuper speaks to Sub-Saharan Africa analyst, Matt Searle,… [Read more]
On this week’s Business Monitor Podcast, Head of Country Risk & Financial Markets Justin Patrie discusses the 2011 macro-market outlook with Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper. Key issues explored include global equity and FX strategy, developed vs. emerging market performance, the inflation and interest rate outlook and key risks to the ongoing macroeconomic recovery.
Looking at recent economic data and leading indicators, such as the Ifo Business Climate Index, I get the impression that the economic recovery of Europe’s largest economy knows no bounds. Indeed, after posting its fastest economic growth rate since re-unification (at 2.2%), my colleagues at Business Monitor International have upgraded their real GDP growth forecast… [Read more]
On this week’s Business Monitor Podcast we assess the outlook for global treasury markets. 2010 has thus far been a gangbusters year for treasuries and the implications for interest rate and inflation expectations has heavily reinforced our core macroeconomic outlook for a major downturn in global demand growth. Key questions addressed in the podcast include:… [Read more]
On this week’s Business Monitor Podcast, we examine the disconnect in the US between positive microeconomic signals coming out of second quarter corporate earnings reports and consistently dismal macroeconomic data releases. BMI’s Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie is joined by Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper to discuss what accounts for this… [Read more]
On Friday, August 6, Business Monitor International’s Head of Research Terry Alexander guest hosted Closing Bell Europe. Key points of discussion included the latest Eurozone GDP releases and asset class strategies amid a rallying bond market.
