Posts Tagged ‘Venezuela’
Tue Jun 22, 2010 15:02 BST |
One of my core Latin American views for some time now has been that political risk will be a key determinant of which countries out- and underperform over the medium term. In this respect, the landslide victory for Juan Manuel Santos in the second round of Colombia’s presidential election on Sunday represents a strong positive [Read more...]
Tags: Argentina, business environment, Colombia, Colombia peso, Economy, equity markets, Forex, Political Risk, Venezuela
Posted in: General
Fri Jun 11, 2010 17:02 BST |
Against an increasingly challenging global economic backdrop, Richard Hamilton, Head of Latin America analysis at Business Monitor International, outlines three core themes for the region. Having been among the first regions to emerge from the global economic downturn in 2009, we take a look at the likely impact of a double-dip in China and an [Read more...]

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Tags: Argentina, Base Metals, Brazil, Caribbean, Central America, Chile, China, Double Dip, Hugo Chavez, Latin America, local debt, Lula, mexico, parallel rate, Peru, US economic weakness, Venezuela
Posted in: China, General, Latin America, Podcast, Political Risk, US
Mon May 24, 2010 17:13 BST |
The decision taken by President Hugo Chávez’s administration to suspend trading in Venezuela’s black market ‘parallel’ rate marks a step closer to Zimbabwe-style hyperinflation and domestic economic ruin. To-date the government has avoided paying the cost of its rampant spending spree and erosion of productive capacity thanks to robust global oil prices, but even without [Read more...]
Tags: Economy, Hugo Chavez, hyperinflation, oil, oil prices, parallel rate, Politics, Venezuela, Zimbabwe
Posted in: Latin America
Fri Feb 19, 2010 17:11 GMT |
The fixed income investment community has been shaken up by growing concerns over Greece’s creditworthiness, which appear to be spreading like a bush fire across eurozone peripheral states. While concerns over significant sovereign credit risk are currently limited to the euro area and Dubai, my colleagues at BMI believe that Latin American government credit, too, [Read more...]
Tags: Argentina, CDS, Creditworthiness, Current Account, Default, Government Debt, Greece, IMF, Jamaica, Nicaragua, sovereign debt, sovereign risk ratings, Venezuela
Posted in: Eurozone, General, Latin America, Political Risk
Mon Jan 11, 2010 18:02 GMT |
Risk Watchdog’s long-held view that the bolivar would sooner or later have to be devalued has finally materialised, with President Hugo Chávez on January 8 announcing the introduction of a dual exchange rate system.
Bolivars will now officially be exchanged for dollars at two rates, VEF2.6000/US$ and VEF4.3000/US$, as opposed to the VEF2.1500/US$ peg that had [Read more...]
Tags: Bolivar, devaluation, exchange rate, Hugo Chavez, Venezuela
Posted in: Currencies, General, Inflation/Deflation, Latin America, Political Risk
Fri Oct 23, 2009 16:03 BST |
Latin America will soon have a new currency, the Sistema Único de Compensación Regional, or Sucre, for short. It’s no coincidence that the currency’s acronym is also the name of 19th century regional independence leader, Antonio José de Sucre, close friend and ally of Simón Bolívar, in whose name the currency’s proponents (members of the [Read more...]
Tags: ALBA, Bolivia, Cuba, Ecuador, foreign currency, Hugo Chavez, monetary union, Nicaragua, oil prices, SUCRE, US dollar reserves, Venezuela
Posted in: Commodities, Currencies, General, Geopolitics, Latin America
Fri Sep 25, 2009 15:51 BST |
With the return of ousted President Manuel Zelaya to Honduras following June’s military coup, we examine how the political stalemate is likely to unfold over the coming days and weeks, and why events in this small Central American country have taken on such regional importance.

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Tags: Central America, economic crisis, Honduras, investment, Manuel Zelaya, military coup, Nicaragua, Political Risk, US, Venezuela
Posted in: General, Geopolitics, Latin America, Podcast, Political Risk