An Assessment Of Political Risks There is a widespread belief that the eurozone will survive, because “there’s no way that German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Nicolas Sarkozy, and other European leaders will let 60 years of European integration efforts collapse during their watch”. These leaders will take decisive action at the last minute to… [Read more]
Saturday, July 9, 2011 saw the birth of a new nation: South Sudan. It is not so often that a new sovereign state comes into being, so how South Sudan fares will certainly be worth watching from a political and economic risk point of view. Generally speaking, most of the nation states that have emerged… [Read more]
US President Barack Obama’s decision to replace General Stanley McChrystal as commander in Afghanistan raises the question of how the war effort there is likely to proceed under new commander General David Petraeus. BMI’s Tim Cooper talks to Yoel Sano, Head of Political Risk, about the future of Afghanistan.
One of the news stories drawing my attention today is a report in the New York Times suggesting that Afghanistan has almost US$1 trillion worth of mineral deposits. The article, citing US geologists, lists iron, copper, cobalt, gold, and lithium as existing in vast quantities in the country’s soil. Lithium in particular has been highlighted,… [Read more]
As we mark the seventh anniversary of the ‘9/11’ terror attacks, the only real conclusion I have is that the outcome of the subsequent ‘War on Terror’ is inconclusive. Part of the confusion stems from the fact that it is not clear what ‘victory’ is. For the West, is victory merely preventing further terror attacks,… [Read more]
